Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.662349 0.755702 0.857281 0.975993 1.110908 1.259459 1.435435
2025-04-06 0.500008 0.623331 0.769475 0.955341 1.185402 1.460831 1.815728
2025-04-13 0.403010 0.534394 0.699614 0.922460 1.215113 1.586366 2.093356
2025-04-20 0.367326 0.512265 0.703577 0.974279 1.347330 1.843377 2.553524
2025-04-27 0.338193 0.492770 0.705567 1.019458 1.470477 2.095133 3.026659
2025-05-04 0.313170 0.474614 0.705408 1.058771 1.585842 2.342903 3.513813
2025-05-11 0.285887 0.449198 0.690879 1.073771 1.664779 2.542434 3.945900
2025-05-18 0.253547 0.412054 0.654323 1.050582 1.682056 2.649352 4.244937
2025-05-25 0.227784 0.382077 0.625149 1.034764 1.707301 2.767802 4.568600
2025-06-01 0.208201 0.359788 0.605499 1.031358 1.750467 2.915717 4.949015
2025-06-08 0.192617 0.342403 0.591842 1.035829 1.805751 3.085919 5.378049
2025-06-15 0.180436 0.329509 0.584227 1.049255 1.876316 3.285605 5.871463
2025-06-22 0.163071 0.306102 0.556996 1.027040 1.884850 3.383469 6.202631
2025-06-29 0.147669 0.284748 0.531451 1.005466 1.892569 3.480552 6.541317
2025-07-06 0.132229 0.261701 0.500567 0.970878 1.872709 3.525454 6.786663
2025-07-13 0.130141 0.263921 0.516527 1.025380 2.023531 3.893375 7.664626
2025-07-20 0.127175 0.264070 0.528438 1.072898 2.164640 4.253687 8.557214
2025-07-27 0.123594 0.262592 0.536948 1.114244 2.296788 4.606638 9.463692
2025-08-03 0.117447 0.255212 0.533021 1.130020 2.378744 4.867505 10.206934
2025-08-10 0.107748 0.239413 0.510602 1.105632 2.376204 4.959397 10.612408
2025-08-17 0.099693 0.226364 0.492693 1.088996 2.388069 5.080689 11.087597
2025-08-24 0.093524 0.216862 0.481403 1.085413 2.427052 5.260306 11.699589
2025-08-31 0.088553 0.209574 0.474227 1.090116 2.484185 5.482057 12.419679